Every month, CoreLogic releases its Home Price Insights Report. In that report, they forecast where they believe residential real estate prices will be in twelve months.
Below is a map, broken down by state, reflecting how home values are forecasted to change by the end of 2018 using data from the most recent report.
As we can see, CoreLogic projects...
What truly causes a housing bubble and the inevitable crash? For the best explanation, let’s go to a person who correctly called the last housing bubble – a year before it happened.
“A bubble requires both overvaluation based on fundamentals and speculation. It is natural to focus on an asset’s fundamental value, but the real key for detecting a bubble is speculation…Speculation tends to chase appreciating assets, and then speculation begets more speculation, until finally, for some reason that will become obvious to all in hindsight, the ‘bubble’ bursts.
I have taken to calling the housing market a ‘bubble’.”
– Bill McBride of Calculated Risk calling the bubble back in April 2005
Click here to download the November 2017 Local Market Snapshot reports, presented by zip code and MLS area.
- the median detached home price rose 9.1 percent to $199,650
- the average detached price increased 8.4 percent to $237,089
- overall inventory of detached homes for sale decreased 18.9 percent to 3,081
- the number of closed sales for detached homes increased 0.6 percent to 826
- the number of detached homes going under contract rose 24.4 percent to 917
According to CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Index, national home prices have appreciated by 7.0% from October 2016 to October 2017. This marks the second month in a row with a 7.0% year-over-year increase.
A lack of supply of homes for sale has led to upward pressure on home prices across the country, especially in areas where both existing and new home inventory have not kept up with buyer demand.
There is little doubt that it is easier to get a home mortgage today than it was last year. The Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), published by the Mortgage Bankers Association, shows that mortgage credit has become more available in each of the last several years. In fact, in just the last year:
- More buyers are putting less than 20% down to purchase a home
- The average credit score on closed mortgages is lower
- More low-down-payment programs have been introduced
This has some people worrying that we are returning to the lax lending standards which led to the boom and bust that real estate experienced ten years ago. Let’s alleviate some of that concern.
The graph below shows the MCAI going back to the...
Albuquerque Journal by Steve Sinovic, Journal Staff Writer
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — As the year winds down, Albuquerque-area residents still looking to buy a home, townhouse or condo are facing low inventories, which has created a seller’s market and higher prices, the main narrative for the residential real-estate market through most of 2017.
Shrinking supply has led to homes selling faster for more money, according to data compiled by the Greater Albuquerque Association of Realtors. The rise in home prices has been a boon to many sellers, and buyers have had to act fast to get the homes – especially moderately prices ones – that they wanted.
“We’re still running a little on the low side of inventory,” said Don Martindell, GAAR president in an early November interview when fall temperatures were in the 70s and open houses on weekends were well attended.
“Buyers are still on the hunt to find a home,” said Martindell,...